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Brian J. Millard - Future Trends from Past Cycles

Brian J. Millard - Future Trends from Past Cycles
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Price: $24 $9
Availability: In Stock
Model: 103
Manufacturer: Missionforex
Average Rating: 4 out of 5 Stars!

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Product Description

Harnessing probabilities with groundbreaking precisionFuture Trends from Past Cycles explains how to identify potential future trends and turning points in equity prices (short, long and medium-term) by analysing past cycles in market data. Brian Millard's renowned technical expertise and mathematical insight forms the basis of this fascinating guide, built around a blend of cycle, channel and probability analysis.

With a thoroughly documented methodology, and numerous worked examples at every step of the process, this is an exceptionally lucid and insightful contribution to the literature of technical analysis. It will help the trader to harness probabilities to their advantage, and to limit their risk, with greater precision than ever before.Finding the key 10% with a trading triple lockThis book teaches you how to use cycles in your trading in a way that hasn't been attempted previously.

At its heart are the three disciplines of cycle, channel and probability analysis, which ensure a triple lock on probability - massively reducing the blind spots and speculative nature common to more one-dimensional technical approaches.While the general view of technical analysts is that virtually all securities can be analysed for future movement, the detailed workings and research in this book shows that this is not the case. Only a small number, around 10%, have cycles which extrapolation shows to be currently in a stable state and which therefore would appear to be predictable.

Brian Millard details the mechanics of identifying this 10% - estimating the stability of trend positions, drawing probability boundaries for price positions, and deducing the core probability of any given price trend. He looks closely at the various forms of risk at play in the markets, uncovers the hidden mathematics of price movement, and shows how to simulate future movements; as well as presenting ideas on the best new ways to read cycles, evaluate mathematical trends, plot moving averages and anticipate turning points.Like the work of J. M. Hurst, Millard's forbear, Future Trends "shows what is possible when approaching the markets with a measured, logical technique based on firm mathematical and scientific logic".It is the essential final book from an acclaimed technical analyst and author.


About the Author

Brian J. Millard's background was as a scientist, and until 1980 he was a senior lecturer at the University of London, publishing over seventy scientific papers. He later became interested in the work of J.M. Hurst on cycles and channels in the stock market and as this interest grew, spent time carrying out research in this field. Following his landmark book 'Stocks and Shares Simplified', published in 1980, Brian wrote a further five books on the application of scientific methods to the stock market. His books on channel analysis are now universally recognised as taking forward the work of J.M. Hurst to a higher level by analysing price movement and especially the occurrence of predictable cycles in market data. Brian also published software to enable traders to apply his methods.


ebook snapshots CLICK HERE

First, the text is very clearly presented with easy to read graphic examples. Prose is well edited but for a few of the charts which have incorrect labeling - minor inconvenience.

In a nut shell, per Millard, only about 10% of scanned stocks have recent cyclic behavior well enough defined to apply this cyclic analysis to ferret out the exact cyclic clusters. Millard teaches you how to segregate and then identify these cycles. Second, for these selections, Millard then takes you to the next step of applying constant vertical height envelope channels. The cyclic appearance and the envelope should agree otherwise the stock selection is rejected. Finally, Millard applies his proprietary probability analysis to project a likely price target. This technique is basically a normal distribution gleaned from the recent past price activity and then custom projected forward in light of current cyclic extrapolations. Thus, recent probability of price activity confirms / rejects channel analysis which itself is visually tied to a study of recent stable cyclic activity in share price movement.

If you have Milllard's Channalyze software (about $900 US) for a stand-alone version which works on daily / weekly data, then the whole thing really hangs together. You don't really need the software but it's worthwhile as a context identifier, that is "Where are We, Where Will We Likely be Going"?


 

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Brian J. Millard - Future Trends from Past Cycles

 

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